guttermorality: this can only end badly

Saturday, April 30, 2011

toddx said...: Endless resources! Rejoice!!; April 30, 2011 at 10:35 AM
Will said...: Interesting that the upswing begins with the arrival of Christianity -- obviously, the Catholic Church's rampant paranoia about sex hasn't had too much effect.; May 1, 2011 at 8:08 PM
mkf said...: todd x: yeah, the resources chart looks just like this one--oh wait, i have it upside down.

will: "fuck for jesus"--always been my motto.; May 2, 2011 at 4:11 AM
noblesavage said...: Well, but most demographers project the peaking of the human population at 9.5 billion and then declining by 2100.

There is something called "demographic transition" when a country moves from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates.

First, the death rate is dramatically reduced by a reduction in infant mortality by changes in health care and vaccinations.

It then takes much longer to reduce the birth rate as family size is often slow to change from 6 or 8 children to 1 or 2 children.

Most of the developing countries have not yet fully transitioned, which is why there continues to be such a dramatic spike in population.

On the other hand, parts of Europe are experiencing depopulation. Rural Italy, for example, has lost population. Russia has a serious depopulation issue (although related to a low average life expectancy for men).

The long term trend (over 100 years) is positive. The middle term may be a little more difficult.; May 3, 2011 at 4:53 PM

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